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Jameis Winston Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 224.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 64.1% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.4 plays per game.The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.The Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, yielding 7.36 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-fewest in football.This year, the tough Denver Broncos defense has given up the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a measly 4.5 YAC.When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Denver's CB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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