Jameis Winston Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jameis Winston

NFL · Player Props

Jameis Winston

QB · New Orleans Saints

Passing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM EST

Analysis

Jameis Winston Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 217.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 226.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 217.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jameis Winston to attempt 39.8 passes in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
Jameis Winston has been among the weakest passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 173.0 yards per game while checking in at the 14th percentile.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 6.79 yards-per-target: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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