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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jameis Winston Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.
  • While Jameis Winston has garnered 3.9% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Cleveland's ground game in this week's contest at 12.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jameis Winston this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • In totaling a measly 1.2 rush attempts per game this year, Jameis Winston ranks among the bottom quarterbacks in the league (15th percentile) when talking about running usage.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Baltimore's collection of DEs has been very good this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

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