Jameis Winston Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jameis Winston

NFL · Player Props

Jameis Winston

QB · Cleveland Browns

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jameis Winston Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
While Jameis Winston has received 6.2% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Cleveland's running game in this week's game at 11.9%.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the 5th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 41.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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