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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jameis Winston Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • While Jameis Winston has received 6.2% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Cleveland's running game in this week's game at 11.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the 5th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 41.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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