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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston Carries
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jameis Winston Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Jameis Winston to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this week's game (13.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New Orleans's collection of DTs has been lousy this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 4th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

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