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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The model projects Ja'Marr Chase to earn 10.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

The leading projections forecast Ja'Marr Chase to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game this week (30.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (23.6% in games he has played).

Ja'Marr Chase ranks as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a terrific 6.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Ja'Marr Chase's 83.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a substantial improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 71.2% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

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