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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This week, Ja'Marr Chase is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 95th percentile among wide receivers with 9.1 targets.

With a fantastic 5.7 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase stands among the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

Ja'Marr Chase's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 71.2% to 83.3%.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Cleveland's CB corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Ja'Marr Chase's 21.9% Target Rate this season indicates a substantial diminishment in his passing attack utilization over last season's 27.6% figure.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.4%) to WRs this year (57.4%).

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