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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, Ja'Marr Chase is expected by the projections to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.3 targets.

With an exceptional 5.9 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase stands among the leading WRs in the game in the league.

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 71.2% to 83.9%.

This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has been torched for a staggering 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 8th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Ja'Marr Chase's 21.2% Target% this year signifies a remarkable decline in his passing offense workload over last year's 27.6% rate.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's LB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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