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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 61.5% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

In this contest, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.6 targets.

While Ja'Marr Chase has garnered 18.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Cincinnati's offense this week at 25.3%.

Ja'Marr Chase's 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a noteable boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 71.2% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 123.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.

The Bengals have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

Ja'Marr Chase's 4.8 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a remarkable decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 6.3 figure.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Baltimore's collection of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.

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