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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

In this week's game, Ja'Marr Chase is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 98th percentile among wide receivers with 9.7 targets.

While Ja'Marr Chase has garnered 18.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Cincinnati's pass game in this game at 26.5%.

Ja'Marr Chase is positioned as one of the best WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 6.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

Ja'Marr Chase's 89.6% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects an impressive gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 71.2% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5 points.

Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 27.26 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week.

The Bengals have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 56.4 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.1 per game) since the start of last season.

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