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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (35.1 per game) since the start of last season.

Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 95.6% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.

In this week's game, Ja'Marr Chase is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.6 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Bengals are heavily favored in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

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