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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their downs: the highest frequency on the slate this week.

Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 95.5% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Our trusted projections expect Ja'Marr Chase to accumulate 10.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Ja'Marr Chase rates as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 6.3 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 96th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.0 per game) since the start of last season.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.3%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (61.3%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

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