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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.7% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 97.4% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

In this game, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the model to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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