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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • With an impressive 97.6% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase places as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.
  • The projections expect Ja'Marr Chase to garner 10.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
  • With a stellar 7.2 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase stands among the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 71.2% to 75.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

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