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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bengals to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.

In this week's game, Ja'Marr Chase is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.7 targets.

Ja'Marr Chase is positioned as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a remarkable 6.7 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 71.2% to 76.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.

Ja'Marr Chase's 59.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 69.0.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Ja'Marr Chase Player Props

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