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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

The model projects Ja'Marr Chase to earn 9.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

With a terrific 6.7 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase stands as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 71.2% to 79.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bengals to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (just 55.6 per game on average).

Ja'Marr Chase's 59.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 69.0.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

More Ja'Marr Chase Player Props

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