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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may drop.

This week, Ja'Marr Chase is predicted by the projections to finish in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.2 targets.

With a remarkable 6.3 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) last year, Ja'Marr Chase places as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in the league.

With an exceptional 71.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (81st percentile) last year, Ja'Marr Chase has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a giant 9-point favorite in this week's contest.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 123.8 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

While Ja'Marr Chase has been responsible for 26.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Cincinnati's offense this week at 20.0%.

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