Ja'Marr Chase Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-136/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to call 67.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
With a high 96.9% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase ranks as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.
The leading projections forecast Ja'Marr Chase to garner 10.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 55.9 per game on average).
The Cincinnati O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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