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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+104/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • The model projects Ja'Marr Chase to accrue 10.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 76.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 65.8.
  • With an excellent 7.8 adjusted catches per game (99th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the top wide receivers in the game in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Houston's collection of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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