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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Burrow in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 99.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to total 9.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has been among the leading pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 7.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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