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Ja'Marr Chase
NFL · Player Props
Ja'Marr Chase
WR · Cincinnati Bengals
Receptions
New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Ja'Marr Chase Receptions

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-156/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -156.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 98.8% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to garner 9.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's pass-catching performance improved this year, totaling 7.3 yards per game compared to just 5.0 last year.
Favors Under
  • The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (62%) vs. wideouts this year (62.0%).
  • The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
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