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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, Ja'Marr Chase is expected by the projections to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.3 targets.

With an exceptional 84.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (95th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase ranks as one of the top WRs in the game in the league.

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 71.2% to 83.9%.

Ja'Marr Chase's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this year, averaging 12.05 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 8.52 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Ja'Marr Chase's 21.2% Target% this year signifies a remarkable decline in his passing offense workload over last year's 27.6% rate.

After averaging 89.0 air yards per game last year, Ja'Marr Chase has regressed heavily this year, currently boasting 63.0 per game.

The New York Giants pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.05 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the league.

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