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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their downs: the highest frequency on the slate this week.

Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 95.5% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Our trusted projections expect Ja'Marr Chase to accumulate 10.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

As it relates to air yards, Ja'Marr Chase grades out in the lofty 88th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 86.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.0 per game) since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Chiefs defense has surrendered a paltry 123.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 6th-fewest in football.

Since the start of last season, the stout Chiefs defense has yielded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a measly 7.3 yards.

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