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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 86.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 90.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 138.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 97.6% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among WRs.

In this game, Ja'Marr Chase is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a huge favorite by 10 points.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the tough Browns defense has conceded a paltry 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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