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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 80.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 85.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Ja'Marr Chase to accumulate 10.2 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among WRs.

Ja'Marr Chase has posted a staggering 86.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 4.5 points.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.

Ja'Marr Chase's 59.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 69.0.

The Bengals offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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