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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 78.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 75.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

The model projects Ja'Marr Chase to earn 9.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Ja'Marr Chase has posted significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (89.0) this season than he did last season (75.0).

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 71.2% to 79.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bengals to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (just 55.6 per game on average).

After averaging 89.0 air yards per game last year, Ja'Marr Chase has seen a big decrease this year, currently averaging 79.0 per game.

Ja'Marr Chase's 59.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 69.0.

This year, the tough Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has conceded the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a puny 3.4 YAC.

More Ja'Marr Chase Player Props

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