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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 82.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.
  • In this game, Ja'Marr Chase is expected by the projections to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.0 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bengals are expected by the projections to call just 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).
  • Ja'Marr Chase has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 54.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 69.0.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.62 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the league.

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