Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 82.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 85.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
The model projects Ja'Marr Chase to accrue 11.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Ja'Marr Chase's 33.3% Target Share this season shows a significant gain in his air attack utilization over last season's 27.1% mark.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
This year, the stout San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.6 yards.
This year, the strong 49ers pass defense has given up the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a feeble 3.7 YAC.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

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