Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.8 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Ja'Marr Chase to garner 11.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Ja'Marr Chase has been a more integral piece of his team's passing attack this season (33.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.1%).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a measly 3.6 YAC.

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