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Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-130/+100).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.With a remarkable 99.4% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase ranks as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.In this week's game, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 99th percentile among WRs with 11.8 targets.Ja'Marr Chase has been among the leading wide receivers in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging an excellent 5.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 80th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are projected by the model to call just 61.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.After accruing 97.0 air yards per game last season, Ja'Marr Chase has gotten worse this season, currently averaging 74.0 per game.The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
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