Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 26, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 99.5% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
The projections expect Ja'Marr Chase to accrue 10.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
Ja'Marr Chase has notched a monstrous 92.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among wideouts.
Ja'Marr Chase has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 86.0 yards per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Ja'Marr Chase's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.1% to 60.0%.
Ja'Marr Chase's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling just 4.78 yards-per-target compared to a 8.79 figure last year.

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