Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 82.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.
With an impressive 97.0% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase stands as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.
In this week's game, Ja'Marr Chase is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 11.8 targets.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
Ja'Marr Chase's 5.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteable decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 6.6% rate.
This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a measly 140.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 9th-best in football.
This year, the tough Ravens defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a puny 6.6 yards.

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