Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-134/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 81.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 79.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The model projects Ja'Marr Chase to accrue 10.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
Ja'Marr Chase has accumulated a monstrous 97.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Ja'Marr Chase's 76.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 65.8.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
Ja'Marr Chase's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling a measly 5.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.64 mark last year.
The Houston Texans pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.49 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Houston's collection of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More Ja'Marr Chase Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow