Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 81.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 66.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to total 9.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
Ja'Marr Chase has been a more integral piece of his team's passing attack this season (29.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (24.1%).
Ja'Marr Chase has totaled substantially more receiving yards per game (82.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.
Ja'Marr Chase has notched far fewer air yards this year (91.0 per game) than he did last year (109.0 per game).
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Ja'Marr Chase's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, notching a mere 8.48 yards-per-target compared to a 10.20 mark last year.

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