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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 81.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 66.1% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to total 9.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has been a more integral piece of his team's passing attack this season (29.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (24.1%).
  • Ja'Marr Chase has totaled substantially more receiving yards per game (82.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has notched far fewer air yards this year (91.0 per game) than he did last year (109.0 per game).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, notching a mere 8.48 yards-per-target compared to a 10.20 mark last year.

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