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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 100.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to notch 9.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has accumulated substantially more receiving yards per game (77.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has notched quite a few less air yards this season (93.0 per game) than he did last season (109.0 per game).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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