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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-161/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -161.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.8% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 100.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to accrue 8.2 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has totaled a whopping 108.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 120.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's receiving efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating just 7.34 yards-per-target vs a 10.20 mark last season.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.1%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (64.1%).

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