Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -126 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.6% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 99.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to accumulate 9.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
Ja'Marr Chase has put up significantly more receiving yards per game (94.0) this season than he did last season (78.0).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Ja'Marr Chase has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (97.0 per game) than he did last year (105.0 per game).
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Ja'Marr Chase's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 8.84 yards-per-target compared to a 10.34 rate last season.

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