Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 88.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 85.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 98.7% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to total 10.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Ja'Marr Chase has notched a lot more receiving yards per game (93.0) this year than he did last year (78.0).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
Ja'Marr Chase has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (93.0 per game) than he did last season (105.0 per game).
Ja'Marr Chase's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, averaging just 9.18 yards-per-target vs a 10.34 mark last year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) versus wideouts this year (64.2%).

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