Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 84.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 67.2% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 98.5% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to accumulate 9.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
Ja'Marr Chase has notched significantly more receiving yards per game (89.0) this year than he did last year (78.0).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Ja'Marr Chase has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (99.0 per game) than he did last season (105.0 per game).
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.23 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the NFL.

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