Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 96.2% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to accumulate 7.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
Ja'Marr Chase has accrued a colossal 109.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among wideouts.
Ja'Marr Chase has been among the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 78.0 yards per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.
Ja'Marr Chase has been among the most efficient receivers in football, averaging an impressive 10.34 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.80 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.