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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+107/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Ja'Marr Chase has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 40.0% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

Ja'Marr Chase has posted a monstrous 107.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among WRs.

Ja'Marr Chase's 64.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 94th percentile for WRs.

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 65.7% to 69.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Cincinnati Bengals have utilized play action on a measly 18.9% of their passing plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

More Ja'Marr Chase Player Props

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