Ja'Marr Chase Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+116/-154).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
Ja'Marr Chase has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 46.2% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
Ja'Marr Chase has put up a monstrous 110.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Ja'Marr Chase's 65.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (57.9%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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