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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+104/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Ja'Marr Chase has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 30.0% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among WRs.

Ja'Marr Chase's 64.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 90th percentile for WRs.

Ja'Marr Chase's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 66.9% to 71.5%.

Ja'Marr Chase grades out in the 99th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.78 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.

Ja'Marr Chase has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (93.0 per game) than he did last season (105.0 per game).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) versus wideouts this year (64.2%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has allowed the 7th-least passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.77 per game this year.

More Ja'Marr Chase Player Props

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