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Jamal Agnew

Jamal Agnew Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jamal Agnew Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-174).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -188 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars.
  • The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Jamal Agnew has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (36.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (15.4%).
  • Jamal Agnew profiles as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a remarkable 75.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 81st percentile among wideouts.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Pittsburgh's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.7%) vs. wideouts this year (60.7%).

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