Jamal Agnew Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jamal Agnew

NFL · Player Props

Jamal Agnew

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Agnew Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-174).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -188 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Jamal Agnew has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (36.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (15.4%).
Jamal Agnew profiles as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a remarkable 75.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 81st percentile among wideouts.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Pittsburgh's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.7%) vs. wideouts this year (60.7%).

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