Jamal Agnew Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Jamal Agnew

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Agnew Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Jamal Agnew has been among the most reliable receivers in football, completing an impressive 78.8% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
The Houston Texans pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.35 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
Jamal Agnew has been among the bottom WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging just 14.0 yards per game while checking in at the 14th percentile among WRs.
The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 126.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.
The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.