Jamal Agnew Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Jamal Agnew

NFL · Player Props

Jamal Agnew

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Agnew Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Jaguars have been the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Jamal Agnew's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 69.0% to 77.9%.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: least in the NFL.
Jamal Agnew has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (15.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (45.4%).
Jamal Agnew has notched quite a few less air yards this season (12.0 per game) than he did last season (25.0 per game).
Jamal Agnew has been among the bottom wide receivers in the game this year, averaging just 16.0 yards per game while grading out in the 17th percentile among WRs.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 122.0) to wide receivers this year.

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