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Jamal Agnew

Jamal Agnew Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jamal Agnew Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.9% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Jamal Agnew's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 69.0% to 76.0%.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line has allowed their QB 2.56 seconds before getting pressured (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Jamal Agnew has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (14.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (45.4%).
  • Jamal Agnew has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (25.0 per game).
  • Jamal Agnew has been among the weakest WRs in the league this year, averaging a mere 19.0 yards per game while grading out in the 24th percentile among wideouts.

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