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Jamal Agnew

Jamal Agnew Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Jamal Agnew Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+306/-550).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +313 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +306.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Jamal Agnew to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the goal line this week (12.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.5% in games he has played).

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Jamal Agnew ranks in the 86th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.40 per game.

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers profile as the worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Agnew's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 22.6.

Jamal Agnew's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 69.0% to 62.8%.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (62.9%) versus wideouts this year (62.9%).

The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the 8th-least TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.60 per game this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More Jamal Agnew Player Props

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