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Jamal Agnew

Jamal Agnew Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Jamal Agnew Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+422/-939).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -691 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -939.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Jamal Agnew to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (10.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line has allowed their QB 2.56 seconds before getting pressured (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 9th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 58.0 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Jamal Agnew's 8.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 22.6.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (56.9%) versus wide receivers this year (56.9%).

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 3rd-least passing TDs in football to wide receivers: 0.70 per game since the start of last season.

More Jamal Agnew Player Props

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