Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 15, 2024 7:22 PM EST

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
The Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to run on 38.7% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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